Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000798 0.000910 0.001029 0.001163 0.001311 0.001469 0.001648
2025-02-09 0.000607 0.000761 0.000934 0.001144 0.001389 0.001664 0.001995
2025-02-16 0.000500 0.000668 0.000868 0.001120 0.001426 0.001782 0.002224
2025-02-23 0.000435 0.000617 0.000841 0.001134 0.001500 0.001939 0.002498
2025-03-02 0.000384 0.000573 0.000815 0.001142 0.001562 0.002078 0.002749
2025-03-09 0.000326 0.000513 0.000763 0.001109 0.001568 0.002144 0.002909
2025-03-16 0.000278 0.000461 0.000714 0.001077 0.001569 0.002199 0.003052
2025-03-23 0.000247 0.000430 0.000691 0.001075 0.001607 0.002301 0.003256
2025-03-30 0.000222 0.000403 0.000671 0.001074 0.001645 0.002403 0.003460
2025-04-06 0.000196 0.000375 0.000646 0.001063 0.001668 0.002483 0.003635
2025-04-13 0.000172 0.000345 0.000615 0.001044 0.001675 0.002540 0.003781
2025-04-20 0.000161 0.000335 0.000615 0.001066 0.001743 0.002682 0.004043
2025-04-27 0.000149 0.000323 0.000611 0.001085 0.001806 0.002820 0.004304
2025-05-04 0.000131 0.000299 0.000585 0.001067 0.001814 0.002881 0.004462
2025-05-11 0.000114 0.000275 0.000557 0.001044 0.001814 0.002928 0.004599
2025-05-18 0.000105 0.000264 0.000551 0.001057 0.001866 0.003052 0.004846
2025-05-25 0.000097 0.000253 0.000543 0.001064 0.001911 0.003165 0.005079
2025-06-01 0.000083 0.000231 0.000514 0.001034 0.001895 0.003187 0.005181
2025-06-08 0.000072 0.000210 0.000485 0.001003 0.001876 0.003203 0.005275
2025-06-15 0.000065 0.000199 0.000474 0.001001 0.001902 0.003289 0.005470
2025-06-22 0.000059 0.000189 0.000464 0.001000 0.001931 0.003377 0.005671
2025-06-29 0.000052 0.000177 0.000449 0.000990 0.001943 0.003440 0.005835
2025-07-06 0.000046 0.000164 0.000430 0.000971 0.001940 0.003478 0.005961